KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Nevada wins by over 11.5 points (99%)
Resolved: Sep 6, 2026, 6:08 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Nevada wins by over 11.5 points
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability
Nevada wins by over 11.5 points 99%Leader of 34 outcomes
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$638.8K
Liquidity
$476.5K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleSep 3, 26, 4:07 PMSep 6, 26, 6:04 AM
Probability Timeline
Nevada wins by over 1.5 points82%
Western Kentucky wins by over 1.5 points14%
Western Kentucky wins by over 10.5 points19%
Nevada wins by over 11.5 points51%
Nevada wins by over 10.5 points53%
Nevada wins by over 3.5 points70%
Nevada wins by over 16.5 points31%
Nevada wins by over 6.5 points69%
Nevada wins by over 13.5 points44%
Nevada wins by over 14.5 points30%
Nevada wins by over 7.5 points61%
Nevada wins by over 19.5 points26%
Nevada wins by over 4.5 points79%
Western Kentucky wins by over 3.5 points9%
Nevada wins by over 9.5 points56%
Nevada wins by over 2.5 points70%
Western Kentucky wins by over 2.5 points14%
Nevada wins by over 5.5 points70%
Western Kentucky wins by over 7.5 points5%
Western Kentucky wins by over 13.5 points3%
Western Kentucky wins by over 9.5 points6%
Western Kentucky wins by over 6.5 points11%
Western Kentucky wins by over 16.5 points2%
Western Kentucky wins by over 14.5 points2%
Western Kentucky wins by over 5.5 points12%
Nevada wins by over 40.5 points1%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
93%
3%
Rules
If Nevada wins by more than 40.5 points in the Western Kentucky vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result.
- If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Nevada wins by more than 37.5 points in the Western Kentucky vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
