KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityabove $3.075 97%Leader of 90 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$13.1K
Liquidity
$10.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
88.0% / 94.0%
Spread
6.8%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jul 7, 26, 9:00 AMJul 8, 26, 9:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
above $3.07597%
Volume trend
$13.1kJul 72d of dataJul 8
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If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas using the NGDQ6 contract on July 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 2.850 USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 5 business days before the current contract's last trading day.
- For example, if the May 2026 contract's last trading day is April 28, the active month switches from May → June 5 business days prior to the expiry date.
- The settlement contract and corresponding month represent standard exchange symbology where contracts are named after their delivery month, not their expiration date.
- For example, while the pyth feed may describe BRENTM6 by its April 30th, 2026 expiration date, the settlement contract is listed as June 2026 to align with the official exchange-designated delivery month for the "M" code.The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 3 decimal places.
- When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval.