KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: 27,570 or above (94%)
Resolved: Jul 28, 2026, 3:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
27,570 or above
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 28, 2026, 2:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability27,540 or above 99%Leader of 100 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$128.3K
Liquidity
$42K
High liquidityBid / Ask
98.0% / 99.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 8:00 PMJul 28, 26, 3:00 PM
Probability Timeline
27,570 or above94%
27,540 or above99%
27,590 or above43%
27,560 or above77%
27,550 or above64%
27,500 or above74%
27,460 or above98%
27,510 or above62%
27,530 or above97%
27,520 or above96%
27,740 or above13%
27,580 or above92%
27,480 or above72%
27,610 or above94%
27,470 or above75%
27,490 or above98%
27,630 or above62%
27,450 or above81%
27,620 or above41%
27,600 or above60%
27,440 or above65%
27,350 or above94%
27,780 or above8%
27,650 or above50%
27,660 or above42%
27,720 or above28%
27,730 or above18%
27,670 or above75%
26,100 or above99%
27,800 or above12%
27,750 or above14%
27,840 or above7%
27,770 or above7%
27,790 or above41%
27,830 or above29%
27,200 or above98%
27,990 or above1%
27,250 or above95%
27,260 or above95%
27,270 or above95%
27,280 or above99%
27,290 or above99%
27,300 or above99%
27,310 or above99%
27,070 or above99%
27,080 or above99%
27,090 or above99%
27,100 or above99%
27,150 or above99%
27,160 or above99%
27,170 or above99%
27,180 or above99%
27,190 or above98%
27,210 or above98%
27,220 or above98%
27,230 or above98%
27,240 or above98%
26,110 or above0%
26,120 or above0%
26,130 or above0%
26,140 or above0%
26,150 or above0%
26,160 or above0%
26,170 or above0%
26,180 or above0%
26,190 or above0%
26,200 or above0%
26,210 or above0%
26,220 or above0%
26,230 or above0%
26,240 or above0%
26,250 or above0%
26,260 or above0%
26,270 or above0%
26,280 or above0%
26,290 or above0%
26,300 or above0%
26,310 or above0%
26,320 or above0%
26,330 or above0%
26,340 or above0%
26,350 or above0%
26,360 or above0%
26,370 or above0%
26,380 or above0%
26,390 or above0%
27,390 or above99%
27,640 or above95%
27,400 or above99%
27,680 or above66%
27,710 or above46%
27,690 or above69%
27,700 or above66%
94%
99%
43%
77%
64%
74%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Rules
If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Jul 28, 2026 at 11am EDT is above 26099.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close on July 28, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after July 28, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Jul 28, 2026 at 11am EDT is above 26109.99, then the market resolves to Yes.