What will MrBeast say during his next Youtube Video?
14.0% (24h)25d
KalshiClosedUS residents onlyKYC required2% feeMarket quality 29 • Low qualityThin market924pt disagreement
This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
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Decision support
Current implied probability
Feastable 56%
Market quality
29 / 100
Low qualityBid / Ask
57.0% / 87.0%
Market data
Updated 22 hours ago
StaleLast updated: Apr 4, 4:09 PM
Resolves
May 1, 2026, 2:00 PM
24h Volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$1.5K
Spread
52.6%
Wide spread7d Change
-
Low liquidityThin market
Started Mar 25, 2026, 12:00 AMEnds May 1, 2026, 2:00 PM
Trends
No chart data available.
Outcome24hChance
Also available on Polymarket
KalshiLast updated: 22 hours agoStale
Contestant
0pt19%
Prize
0pt2%
Sponsor / Sponsored
0pt1%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
0pt1%
Vol
$2.2K
24h Vol
$1.2K
Liq
$1.5K
Spread: Wide spreadLiquidity: Low liquidity
US residents onlyKYC required2% feeSettles in USD
PolymarketLast updated: 19 minutes ago
Contestant
▼ 18pt1%
Prize
▲ +1pt3%
Sponsor / Sponsored
▼ 1pt0%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
▼ 1pt0%
Vol
$85.3K
24h Vol
$60.7K
Liq
$5.5K
Spread: Tight spreadLiquidity: Low liquidity
Not available in USNo KYC2% feeSettles in USDC
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Rules
If MrBeast says Million as part of Next MrBeast Youtube Video, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the Next MrBeast Youtube Video will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Next MrBeast Youtube Video will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. For the purposes of this market, “next MrBeast Youtube Video” refers to the first full-length upload on MrBeast’s main YouTube channel (@MrBeast) after March 24th, 2026 at 8:00 PM. The video must be at least four minutes long to qualify. YouTube Shorts, teaser trailers, live streams, community posts, and uploads on other channels (e.g., Beast Philanthropy, MrBeast Gaming, Beast Reacts) are excluded. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the first full-length upload will be used for resolution. Please see full rules for more details.
- If MrBeast says Billion as part of Next MrBeast Youtube Video, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If MrBeast says Contestant as part of Next MrBeast Youtube Video, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If MrBeast says Challenge as part of Next MrBeast Youtube Video, then the market resolves to Yes.