KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Over 4.5 runs scored (99%)
Resolved: Jul 28, 2026, 1:46 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Over 4.5 runs scored
- Recorded
- Jul 28, 2026, 2:02 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityOver 4.5 runs scored 99%+6.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.8M
Liquidity
$1.1M
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 58 minutes ago
LaggingJul 26, 26, 10:40 PMJul 30, 26, 10:45 PM
Probability Timeline
Over 9.5 runs scored1%
Over 8.5 runs scored5%
Over 10.5 runs scored3%
Over 7.5 runs scored10%
Over 6.5 runs scored15%
Over 5.5 runs scored13%
Over 12.5 runs scored2%
Over 14.5 runs scored20%
Over 4.5 runs scored93%
Over 11.5 runs scored2%
Over 13.5 runs scored1%
1%
5%
3%
10%
15%
13%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Over 4.5 runs scored
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 99% | — | $1.8M | $1.1M | 58 minutes ago | |
 Gemini90% match · auto | Low | 89% | — | $0 | $0 | 18 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Gemini
Toronto vs Washington: Total Runs
1d
89%
79%
72%
+6 more outcomes
39 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
GEMINIRules
If Toronto and Washington collectively score more 4.5 runs in the Toronto vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 27, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Toronto and Washington collectively score more 5.5 runs in the Toronto vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 27, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Toronto and Washington collectively score more 6.5 runs in the Toronto vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 27, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Toronto and Washington collectively score more 7.5 runs in the Toronto vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 27, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.9k77.0%KALSHIOver 5.5 runs scored — No59m ago
KALSHIOver 5.5 runs scored — No59m ago$1.9k53.0%KALSHIOver 6.5 runs scored — Yes1h ago
KALSHIOver 6.5 runs scored — Yes1h ago$1.0k85.0%KALSHIOver 9.5 runs scored — No1h ago
KALSHIOver 9.5 runs scored — No1h ago$1.8k41.0%KALSHIOver 8.5 runs scored — No2h ago
KALSHIOver 8.5 runs scored — No2h ago$5.7k64.0%KALSHIOver 9.5 runs scored — No2h ago
KALSHIOver 9.5 runs scored — No2h ago$2.0k52.0%KALSHIOver 9.5 runs scored — Yes3h ago
KALSHIOver 9.5 runs scored — Yes3h ago$6.7k52.0%KALSHIOver 10.5 runs scored — Yes3h ago
KALSHIOver 10.5 runs scored — Yes3h ago$1.0k50.0%KALSHIOver 8.5 runs scored — No3h ago
KALSHIOver 8.5 runs scored — No3h agoVolume trend
$1.8MJul 263d of dataJul 28
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KALSHIActive in these topics
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If Toronto and Washington collectively score more 4.5 runs in the Toronto vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 27, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Toronto and Washington collectively score more 5.5 runs in the Toronto vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 27, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Toronto and Washington collectively score more 6.5 runs in the Toronto vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 27, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Toronto and Washington collectively score more 7.5 runs in the Toronto vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 27, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.