KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Over 12.5 runs scored (84%)
Resolved: Jul 28, 2026, 1:46 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 28, 2026, 1:30 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Over 12.5 runs scored
- Recorded
- Jul 28, 2026, 2:02 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityOver 11.5 runs scored 99%+76.0ptLeader of 16 outcomes
Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.6M
Liquidity
$777.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 26, 26, 10:40 PMJul 30, 26, 10:40 PM
Probability Timeline
Over 11.5 runs scored20%
Over 7.5 runs scored52%
Over 10.5 runs scored33%
Over 9.5 runs scored35%
Over 8.5 runs scored44%
Over 6.5 runs scored63%
Over 5.5 runs scored73%
Over 3.5 runs scored0%
Over 4.5 runs scored0%
Over 2.5 runs scored92%
Over 1.5 runs scored92%
Over 12.5 runs scored84%
Over 13.5 runs scored55%
Over 14.5 runs scored54%
Over 15.5 runs scored17%
Over 16.5 runs scored12%
99%
84%
99%
55%
99%
99%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Over 11.5 runs scored
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 99% | — | $1.6M | $777.3K | 1 hour ago | |
 Gemini90% match · auto | Low | 85% | — | $0 | $0 | 16 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Gemini
Philadelphia vs Miami: Total Runs
1d
85%
74.5%
67.5%
+6 more outcomes
43 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
GEMINIRules
If Philadelphia and Miami collectively score more 1.5 runs in the Philadelphia vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 27, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Philadelphia and Miami collectively score more 2.5 runs in the Philadelphia vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 27, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Philadelphia and Miami collectively score more 3.5 runs in the Philadelphia vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 27, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Philadelphia and Miami collectively score more 4.5 runs in the Philadelphia vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 27, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.5k81.0%KALSHIOver 12.5 runs scored — Yes2h ago
KALSHIOver 12.5 runs scored — Yes2h ago$10.1k77.0%KALSHIOver 13.5 runs scored — No2h ago
KALSHIOver 13.5 runs scored — No2h ago$1.7k71.0%KALSHIOver 13.5 runs scored — No2h ago
KALSHIOver 13.5 runs scored — No2h ago$1.4k71.0%KALSHIOver 13.5 runs scored — No2h ago
KALSHIOver 13.5 runs scored — No2h ago$2.5k47.0%KALSHIOver 12.5 runs scored — No2h ago
KALSHIOver 12.5 runs scored — No2h ago$3.3k87.0%KALSHIOver 9.5 runs scored — Yes3h ago
KALSHIOver 9.5 runs scored — Yes3h ago$5.2k55.0%KALSHIOver 11.5 runs scored — Yes4h ago
KALSHIOver 11.5 runs scored — Yes4h ago$1.1k44.0%KALSHIOver 11.5 runs scored — Yes4h ago
KALSHIOver 11.5 runs scored — Yes4h agoVolume trend
$1.6MJul 263d of dataJul 28
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KALSHIActive in these topics
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If Philadelphia and Miami collectively score more 1.5 runs in the Philadelphia vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 27, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Philadelphia and Miami collectively score more 2.5 runs in the Philadelphia vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 27, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Philadelphia and Miami collectively score more 3.5 runs in the Philadelphia vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 27, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Philadelphia and Miami collectively score more 4.5 runs in the Philadelphia vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 27, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.