KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Over 4.5 runs scored (99%)
Resolved: Sep 1, 2026, 1:01 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Over 4.5 runs scored 99%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.3M
Liquidity
$795.3K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 30, 26, 8:50 PMSep 3, 26, 10:40 PM
Probability Timeline
Over 7.5 runs scored10%
Over 4.5 runs scored99%
Over 8.5 runs scored46%
Over 5.5 runs scored34%
Over 6.5 runs scored27%
Over 9.5 runs scored35%
Over 3.5 runs scored99%
Over 2.5 runs scored92%
Over 10.5 runs scored0%
Over 12.5 runs scored15%
Over 11.5 runs scored2%
99%
99%
99%
34%
27%
10%
7%
2%
2%
2%
1%
Rules
If New York M and Tampa Bay collectively score more 2.5 runs in the New York M vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:MLB
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If New York M and Tampa Bay collectively score more 3.5 runs in the New York M vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If New York M and Tampa Bay collectively score more 4.5 runs in the New York M vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If New York M and Tampa Bay collectively score more 5.5 runs in the New York M vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
