KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Over 4.5 runs scored (99%)
Resolved: Aug 25, 2026, 2:26 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 25, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Over 4.5 runs scored 99%+17.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$793K
Liquidity
$566.3K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 23, 26, 7:00 PMAug 28, 26, 1:45 AM
Probability Timeline
Over 7.5 runs scored3%
Over 8.5 runs scored1%
Over 9.5 runs scored1%
Over 10.5 runs scored1%
Over 6.5 runs scored6%
Over 5.5 runs scored15%
Over 11.5 runs scored2%
Over 12.5 runs scored1%
Over 4.5 runs scored0%
Over 2.5 runs scored92%
Over 3.5 runs scored85%
99%
99%
99%
15%
6%
3%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If Cincinnati and San Francisco collectively score more 2.5 runs in the Cincinnati vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 24, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:MLB
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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- If Cincinnati and San Francisco collectively score more 3.5 runs in the Cincinnati vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 24, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Cincinnati and San Francisco collectively score more 4.5 runs in the Cincinnati vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 24, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Cincinnati and San Francisco collectively score more 5.5 runs in the Cincinnati vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 24, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
