KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Over 8.5 runs scored (99%)
Resolved: Aug 9, 2026, 12:56 AM
Provider-verified resolution
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 9, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilityOver 8.5 runs scored 99%+47.0ptLeader of 14 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.2M
Liquidity
$783.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
58.0% / 61.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleAug 7, 26, 7:40 PMAug 11, 26, 10:40 PM
Probability Timeline
Over 9.5 runs scored58%
Over 10.5 runs scored34%
Over 8.5 runs scored99%
Over 11.5 runs scored26%
Over 12.5 runs scored12%
Over 7.5 runs scored61%
Over 4.5 runs scored87%
Over 5.5 runs scored0%
Over 6.5 runs scored72%
Over 3.5 runs scored92%
Over 2.5 runs scored96%
Over 14.5 runs scored5%
Over 13.5 runs scored12%
Over 15.5 runs scored2%
58%
34%
99%
26%
12%
99%
Rules
If New York M and Pittsburgh collectively score more 2.5 runs in the New York M vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
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- If New York M and Pittsburgh collectively score more 3.5 runs in the New York M vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If New York M and Pittsburgh collectively score more 4.5 runs in the New York M vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If New York M and Pittsburgh collectively score more 5.5 runs in the New York M vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.