KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Washington over 4.5 runs scored (99%)
Resolved: Jul 29, 2026, 3:05 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Washington over 4.5 runs scored
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 29, 2026, 2:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Washington over 4.5 runs scored
- Recorded
- Jul 29, 2026, 3:14 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityWashington over 4.5 runs scored 99%+55.0ptLeader of 14 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$81.5K
Liquidity
$63.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 6:20 PMJul 31, 26, 10:45 PM
Probability Timeline
Washington over 4.5 runs scored52%
Washington over 7.5 runs scored19%
Washington over 1.5 runs scored90%
Washington over 5.5 runs scored0%
Washington over 6.5 runs scored0%
Toronto over 7.5 runs scored26%
Toronto over 6.5 runs scored27%
Toronto over 4.5 runs scored99%
Toronto over 2.5 runs scored64%
Toronto over 3.5 runs scored99%
Toronto over 5.5 runs scored99%
Toronto over 1.5 runs scored81%
Washington over 2.5 runs scored82%
Washington over 3.5 runs scored65%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
26%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$1.6k78.0%KALSHIWashington over 7.5 runs scored — Yes6h ago
KALSHIWashington over 7.5 runs scored — Yes6h ago$1.5k89.0%KALSHIWashington over 1.5 runs scored — Yes10h ago
KALSHIWashington over 1.5 runs scored — Yes10h ago$1.8k89.0%KALSHIWashington over 1.5 runs scored — Yes10h ago
KALSHIWashington over 1.5 runs scored — Yes10h agoVolume trend
$81.5kJul 273d of dataJul 29
Active in these topics
Related News
NFL urges CFTC to strengthen rules on sports prediction markets: reportThe Block
KuCoin Marks Major Sponsorship Milestone as Ambassador Pogačar Wins Record Fifth Tour de FranceBlockchain Reporter
Galaxy Digital’s $75 Million Texas Tech Stadium Deal Is Crypto’s Boldest Branding Bet YetBlockchain Reporter
Galaxy Digital plants its name on Texas Tech football stadiumCrypto News
Galaxy Digital puts its name on Texas Tech football stadium in 15-year partnershipThe Block
Polymarket prices Golden Ball at 50% despite Spain reaching World Cup finalBlockchain.NewsRules
If Washington scores 2+ runs in the Toronto vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Washington scores 3+ runs in the Toronto vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Washington scores 4+ runs in the Toronto vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Washington scores 5+ runs in the Toronto vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.