KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Arizona wins by over 1.5 runs (99%)
Resolved: Sep 26, 2026, 4:32 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Arizona wins by over 1.5 runs
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
34%
SurpriseProbability Timeline
Arizona wins by over 1.5 runs92%
Arizona wins by over 3.5 runs99%
Arizona wins by over 2.5 runs97%
San Diego wins by over 1.5 runs2%
San Diego wins by over 3.5 runs19%
San Diego wins by over 2.5 runs26%
Arizona wins by over 5.5 runs92%
Arizona wins by over 7.5 runs5%
Arizona wins by over 4.5 runs94%
Arizona wins by over 6.5 runs79%
Arizona wins by over 9.5 runs1%
Arizona wins by over 8.5 runs5%
Arizona wins by over 10.5 runs1%
Arizona wins by over 1.5 runsWon
Arizona wins by over 3.5 runsLost
Arizona wins by over 2.5 runsLost
Arizona wins by over 4.5 runsLost
Arizona wins by over 5.5 runsLost
Arizona wins by over 6.5 runsLost
Arizona wins by over 7.5 runsLost
Arizona wins by over 8.5 runsLost
Arizona wins by over 9.5 runsLost
San Diego wins by over 1.5 runsLost
San Diego wins by over 3.5 runsLost
San Diego wins by over 2.5 runsLost
Arizona wins by over 10.5 runsLost
Rules
If San Diego wins by more than 3.5 runs in the Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the Governing League
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- If San Diego wins by more than 2.5 runs in the Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If San Diego wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Arizona wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
