KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: New York M wins by over 3.5 runs (99%)
Resolved: Sep 19, 2026, 11:37 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
New York M wins by over 3.5 runs
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability
New York M wins by over 3.5 runs 99%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$370.3K
Liquidity
$206.4K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 18, 26, 7:20 PM UTCSep 22, 26, 8:10 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
New York M wins by over 3.5 runs99%
New York M wins by over 1.5 runs35%
New York M wins by over 2.5 runs27%
Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 runs35%
Philadelphia wins by over 2.5 runs0%
Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 runs0%
New York M wins by over 4.5 runs99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If New York M wins by more than 4.5 runs in the Philadelphia vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the Governing League
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- If New York M wins by more than 3.5 runs in the Philadelphia vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If New York M wins by more than 2.5 runs in the Philadelphia vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If New York M wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Philadelphia vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
SportsKALSHIFlorida St. vs Alabama
- Alabama-4.0pt87%
- Florida St.+3.0pt13%
- Total Vol
- $9.4M
- 24h Vol
- $9.2M
KALSHILSU vs Ole Miss
- LSU+5.0pt62.8%
- Ole Miss-3.0pt37.3%
- Total Vol
- $10.9M
- 24h Vol
- $7.8M
KALSHIFlorida St. vs Alabama: Spread
- Alabama wins by over 1.5 points-5.0pt86%
- Alabama wins by over 2.5 points-6.0pt83%
- Alabama wins by over 3.5 points-6.0pt80%
+27 more outcomes
KALSHILSU vs Ole Miss: Spread
- LSU wins by over 2.5 points+12.0pt67%
- LSU wins by over 1.5 points+2.0pt59%
- LSU wins by over 3.5 points+6.0pt51%
+26 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLoL: LYON vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
- Game 2 Winner+34.5pt100%
- Games Total: O/U 3.5 — Over+34.5pt100%
- Any Player Quadra Kill+61.0pt100%
+66 more outcomes
KALSHIBiltmore Championship Asheville Winner
- Neal Shipley+11.0pt41.2%
- Ben Kohles+6.0pt30.9%
- Eric Cole+1.1pt6.2%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Mississippi St. vs South Carolina
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- 331: Van vs Pantoja
- Mississippi St. vs South Carolina: Spread
- Southeastern Louisiana vs Louisiana-Monroe
- BMW PGA Championship Winner
- Florida vs Auburn
- Michigan St. vs Notre Dame
- Toronto vs Texas
- Colorado vs Northwestern
- 331: Tsarukyan vs Ruffy
- Central Connecticut St. vs Montana St.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Philadelphia vs New York M: Spread?
- Kalshi prices New York M wins by over 3.5 runs at 99% as of September 19, 2026.
- When does Philadelphia vs New York M: Spread resolve?
- Philadelphia vs New York M: Spread is scheduled to resolve on September 22, 2026.
- How is Philadelphia vs New York M: Spread settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If New York M wins by more than 4.5 runs in the Philadelphia vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.