KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Texas wins by over 1.5 runs (96%)
Resolved: Sep 9, 2026, 4:56 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Texas wins by over 1.5 runs
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability
Texas wins by over 1.5 runs 96%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$481.6K
Liquidity
$365.6K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 8, 26, 9:50 AM UTCSep 12, 26, 1:40 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
Texas wins by over 1.5 runs96%
Texas wins by over 2.5 runs95%
Seattle wins by over 1.5 runs1%
Texas wins by over 3.5 runs75%
Seattle wins by over 3.5 runs0%
Seattle wins by over 2.5 runs27%
Texas wins by over 5.5 runs1%
Texas wins by over 6.5 runs31%
Texas wins by over 4.5 runs74%
Texas wins by over 8.5 runs12%
96%
95%
75%
74%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If Seattle wins by more than 3.5 runs in the Texas vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the Governing League
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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- If Seattle wins by more than 2.5 runs in the Texas vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Seattle wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Texas vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Texas wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Texas vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
SportsKALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Ben Shelton+49.0pt70.3%
- Carlos Alcaraz-49.0pt29.7%
- Total Vol
- $26.4M
- 24h Vol
- $24.7M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Quarter Finals match
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt59.7%
- Carlos Alcaraz40.3%
- Total Vol
- $534.5K
- 24h Vol
- $6.5M
POLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
- Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 9.5+37.5pt100%
- Alcaraz Set 2 Winner+67.5pt100%
- Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 3.5+39.5pt100%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Bayern Munich13.3%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.6M
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R13.9%
- Buffalo6.6%
- Seattle6.6%
+29 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $86.1M
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Alexander Zverev+11.0pt38%
- Ben Shelton+20.0pt28%
- Carlos Alcaraz-37.0pt19%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $30M
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- MVP Winner?
- New England vs Seattle
- Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz: Exact Match Score
- Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz: Set 3 Winner
- Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
- Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz: Total Games
- 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
- Heisman Trophy Winner
- Barcelona vs Feyenoord
- College Football National Championship Winner
- Counter-Strike: 5star vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Texas vs Seattle: Spread?
- Kalshi prices Texas wins by over 1.5 runs at 96% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Texas vs Seattle: Spread resolve?
- Texas vs Seattle: Spread is scheduled to resolve on September 12, 2026.
- How is Texas vs Seattle: Spread settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Seattle wins by more than 3.5 runs in the Texas vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.