KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Texas wins by over 3.5 runs (99%)
Resolved: Sep 4, 2026, 2:31 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Texas wins by over 3.5 runs
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
0%
SurpriseCurrent implied probability
Texas wins by over 3.5 runs 99%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$389.4K
Liquidity
$268.6K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleSep 3, 26, 12:50 AMSep 7, 26, 12:05 AM
Probability Timeline
Texas wins by over 3.5 runs99%
Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 runs31%
Texas wins by over 2.5 runs18%
Texas wins by over 1.5 runs30%
Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 runs31%
Tampa Bay wins by over 3.5 runs0%
Texas wins by over 4.5 runs99%
Texas wins by over 5.5 runs99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If Texas wins by more than 6.5 runs in the Tampa Bay vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 3, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the Governing League
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- If Texas wins by more than 5.5 runs in the Tampa Bay vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 3, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Texas wins by more than 4.5 runs in the Tampa Bay vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 3, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Texas wins by more than 3.5 runs in the Tampa Bay vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 3, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
SportsKALSHIZverev vs Halys
- Alexander Zverev-9.0pt74.3%
- Quentin Halys+9.0pt25.7%
- Total Vol
- $13.5M
- 24h Vol
- $13M
KALSHISt. Louis vs Los Angeles D
- St. Louis+30.0pt57.4%
- Los Angeles D-29.0pt42.6%
- Total Vol
- $6.1M
- 24h Vol
- $5.8M
KALSHIOmega European Masters Winner
- Angel Ayora Fanegas+9.0pt10%
- Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra+4.5pt7.3%
- Thriston Lawrence+5.2pt6.4%
+97 more outcomes
KALSHIUAB vs Illinois
- Illinois+2.0pt99%
- UAB-3.0pt1%
- Total Vol
- $3.3M
- 24h Vol
- $3.2M
KALSHIA's vs Seattle
- A's+37.0pt72.3%
- Seattle-37.0pt27.7%
- Total Vol
- $3.3M
- 24h Vol
- $3.1M
KALSHIIdaho vs Utah
- Utah99%
- Idaho-1.0pt1%
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $2.5M
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- UAB vs Illinois: Spread
- St. Louis vs Los Angeles D: Total Runs
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- 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
- US Open Men's Singles Winner
- US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Quentin Halys
- Sinclair vs Yang
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- UAB vs Illinois: Total Points
- A's vs Seattle: Spread
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Tampa Bay vs Texas: Spread?
- Kalshi prices Texas wins by over 3.5 runs at 99% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Tampa Bay vs Texas: Spread resolve?
- Tampa Bay vs Texas: Spread is scheduled to resolve on September 7, 2026.
- How is Tampa Bay vs Texas: Spread settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Texas wins by more than 6.5 runs in the Tampa Bay vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 3, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.