KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs (98%)
Resolved: Sep 2, 2026, 4:41 AM
Provider-verified resolution
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Winning Outcome
New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
49%
SurpriseCurrent implied probability
New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs 98%+48.0ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.8M
Liquidity
$1.1M
High liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 42 minutes ago
Aug 31, 26, 7:10 PMSep 5, 26, 1:38 AM
Probability Timeline
New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs98%
New York Y wins by over 3.5 runs86%
New York Y wins by over 2.5 runs97%
Los Angeles A wins by over 1.5 runs23%
Los Angeles A wins by over 3.5 runs9%
Los Angeles A wins by over 2.5 runs13%
New York Y wins by over 4.5 runs1%
New York Y wins by over 5.5 runs1%
New York Y wins by over 6.5 runs1%
98%
97%
86%
3%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If Los Angeles A wins by more than 3.5 runs in the New York Y vs Los Angeles A professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 1, 2026 at 9:38 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the Governing League
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- If Los Angeles A wins by more than 2.5 runs in the New York Y vs Los Angeles A professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 1, 2026 at 9:38 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Los Angeles A wins by more than 1.5 runs in the New York Y vs Los Angeles A professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 1, 2026 at 9:38 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If New York Y wins by more than 1.5 runs in the New York Y vs Los Angeles A professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 1, 2026 at 9:38 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.