KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityMinnesota wins by over 1.5 runs 46%+2.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$272.2K
Liquidity
$230.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
45.0% / 46.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Jul 28, 26, 10:40 PMAug 1, 26, 11:40 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Minnesota wins by over 1.5 runs46%
Compare venues· Minnesota wins by over 1.5 runs
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 46% | — | $272.2K | $230.6K | 25 minutes ago | |
 Gemini65% match · auto | Medium | 46% | — | $2.2K | $0 | 25 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Gemini
Kansas City vs Minnesota: Point Spread
5h
45.5%
33.5%
24.5%
+3 more outcomes
50 • Medium qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$2.2K
24h Vol$2.2K
GEMINIRules
If Minnesota wins by more than 3.5 runs in the Kansas City vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 29, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Minnesota wins by more than 2.5 runs in the Kansas City vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 29, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Minnesota wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Kansas City vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 29, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Kansas City wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Kansas City vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 29, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.0k56.0%KALSHIMinnesota wins by over 1.5 runs — No26m ago
KALSHIMinnesota wins by over 1.5 runs — No26m ago$10.2k56.0%KALSHIMinnesota wins by over 1.5 runs — No26m ago
KALSHIMinnesota wins by over 1.5 runs — No26m ago$10.2k56.0%KALSHIMinnesota wins by over 1.5 runs — No26m ago
KALSHIMinnesota wins by over 1.5 runs — No26m agoVolume trend
$272.2kJul 283d of dataJul 30
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If Minnesota wins by more than 3.5 runs in the Kansas City vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 29, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Minnesota wins by more than 2.5 runs in the Kansas City vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 29, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Minnesota wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Kansas City vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 29, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Kansas City wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Kansas City vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 29, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.