KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Washington wins by over 1.5 runs (79%)
Resolved: Jul 29, 2026, 3:01 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Washington wins by over 1.5 runs
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
40%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 29, 2026, 2:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Washington wins by over 1.5 runs
- Recorded
- Jul 29, 2026, 3:14 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityWashington wins by over 1.5 runs 79%+39.0ptLeader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$280K
Liquidity
$184.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
79.0% / 80.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 6:20 PMJul 31, 26, 10:45 PM
Probability Timeline
Washington wins by over 1.5 runs79%
Washington wins by over 3.5 runs8%
Washington wins by over 2.5 runs24%
Toronto wins by over 1.5 runs4%
Toronto wins by over 2.5 runs21%
Toronto wins by over 3.5 runs1%
Washington wins by over 5.5 runs2%
Washington wins by over 4.5 runs5%
Washington wins by over 6.5 runs1%
Washington wins by over 7.5 runs1%
79%
8%
24%
2%
5%
4%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Washington wins by over 1.5 runs
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 79% | — | $280K | $184.4K | 5 hours ago | |
 Gemini64% match · auto | Low | 80% | — | $1.2K | $0 | 5 hours ago | Open → |
Also available on Gemini
Toronto vs Washington: Point Spread
Closed
Resolved
Washington wins by more than 1.5 runs (79.5%)
79.5%
48.5%
21%
+1 more outcomes
34 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$1.2K
24h Vol$1.2K
GEMINIRules
If Washington wins by more than 7.5 runs in the Toronto vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Washington wins by more than 6.5 runs in the Toronto vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Washington wins by more than 5.5 runs in the Toronto vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Washington wins by more than 4.5 runs in the Toronto vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.1k78.0%KALSHIWashington wins by over 2.5 runs — No5h ago
KALSHIWashington wins by over 2.5 runs — No5h ago$1.4k69.0%KALSHIWashington wins by over 1.5 runs — Yes5h ago
KALSHIWashington wins by over 1.5 runs — Yes5h ago$3.2k58.0%KALSHIWashington wins by over 2.5 runs — No7h ago
KALSHIWashington wins by over 2.5 runs — No7h ago$6.5k56.0%KALSHIWashington wins by over 1.5 runs — Yes8h ago
KALSHIWashington wins by over 1.5 runs — Yes8h ago$1.9k46.0%KALSHIWashington wins by over 1.5 runs — Yes8h ago
KALSHIWashington wins by over 1.5 runs — Yes8h ago$3.8k40.0%KALSHIWashington wins by over 1.5 runs — Yes20h ago
KALSHIWashington wins by over 1.5 runs — Yes20h agoVolume trend
$280.0kJul 273d of dataJul 29
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If Washington wins by more than 7.5 runs in the Toronto vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Washington wins by more than 6.5 runs in the Toronto vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Washington wins by more than 5.5 runs in the Toronto vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Washington wins by more than 4.5 runs in the Toronto vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.