KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Detroit wins by over 1.5 runs (99%)
Resolved: Jul 29, 2026, 1:16 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Detroit wins by over 1.5 runs
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
40%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 29, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Detroit wins by over 1.5 runs
- Recorded
- Jul 29, 2026, 1:35 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityDetroit wins by over 1.5 runs 99%+59.0ptLeader of 16 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$386.7K
Liquidity
$307.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 6:20 PMJul 31, 26, 10:40 PM
Probability Timeline
Detroit wins by over 1.5 runs96%
Detroit wins by over 2.5 runs94%
Detroit wins by over 3.5 runs99%
Baltimore wins by over 1.5 runs1%
Baltimore wins by over 2.5 runs0%
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs19%
Detroit wins by over 10.5 runs94%
Detroit wins by over 9.5 runs99%
Detroit wins by over 7.5 runs99%
Detroit wins by over 4.5 runs90%
Detroit wins by over 5.5 runs99%
Detroit wins by over 8.5 runs99%
Detroit wins by over 6.5 runs99%
Detroit wins by over 11.5 runs95%
Detroit wins by over 12.5 runs88%
Detroit wins by over 13.5 runs72%
99%
94%
99%
99%
99%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$1.1k99.0%KALSHIBaltimore wins by over 2.5 runs — No8h ago
KALSHIBaltimore wins by over 2.5 runs — No8h ago$1.0k41.0%KALSHIDetroit wins by over 1.5 runs — Yes9h ago
KALSHIDetroit wins by over 1.5 runs — Yes9h agoVolume trend
$386.7kJul 273d of dataJul 29
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If Detroit wins by more than 13.5 runs in the Baltimore vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
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- If Detroit wins by more than 12.5 runs in the Baltimore vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Detroit wins by more than 11.5 runs in the Baltimore vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Detroit wins by more than 10.5 runs in the Baltimore vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.