This market resolved: Cincinnati wins by over 1.5 runs (76%)
Resolved: Jul 22, 2026, 4:36 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Cincinnati wins by over 1.5 runs
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
36%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 22, 2026, 4:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Cincinnati wins by over 1.5 runs
- Recorded
- Jul 22, 2026, 5:10 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityCincinnati wins by over 1.5 runs 76%+40.0%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1M
Liquidity
$543.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
76.0% / 77.0%
Spread
1.3%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleJul 20, 26, 7:20 PMJul 25, 26, 1:40 AM
Probability Timeline
Cincinnati wins by over 1.5 runs76%
Cincinnati wins by over 2.5 runs1%
Seattle wins by over 1.5 runs5%
Cincinnati wins by over 3.5 runs1%
Seattle wins by over 3.5 runs1%
Seattle wins by over 2.5 runs25%
Cincinnati wins by over 4.5 runs4%
Cincinnati wins by over 5.5 runs1%
76%
1%
5%
1%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$1.2k76.0%
KALSHICincinnati wins by over 1.5 runs — Yes18h ago
KALSHICincinnati wins by over 1.5 runs — Yes18h ago$5.2k85.0%KALSHICincinnati wins by over 2.5 runs — No18h ago
KALSHICincinnati wins by over 2.5 runs — No18h ago$1.4k78.0%KALSHICincinnati wins by over 1.5 runs — No18h ago
KALSHICincinnati wins by over 1.5 runs — No18h ago$1.1k82.0%KALSHICincinnati wins by over 1.5 runs — No19h ago
KALSHICincinnati wins by over 1.5 runs — No19h ago$2.0k82.0%KALSHICincinnati wins by over 1.5 runs — No19h ago
KALSHICincinnati wins by over 1.5 runs — No19h ago$1.8k82.0%KALSHICincinnati wins by over 1.5 runs — No19h ago
KALSHICincinnati wins by over 1.5 runs — No19h ago$1.9k82.0%KALSHICincinnati wins by over 1.5 runs — No19h ago
KALSHICincinnati wins by over 1.5 runs — No19h ago$1.8k67.0%KALSHICincinnati wins by over 1.5 runs — Yes19h ago
KALSHICincinnati wins by over 1.5 runs — Yes19h agoVolume trend
$1.0MJul 203d of dataJul 22
Related Markets
Cincinnati vs Seattle: Spread
$424.9KSeattle wins by over 1.5 runs: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIA's vs Arizona: Spread
$392.3KArizona wins by over 1.5 runs: 99%KALSHI
KALSHISt. Louis vs Los Angeles A: Spread
$216.7KLos Angeles A wins by over 1.5 runs: 7%KALSHI
KALSHILos Angeles D vs Philadelphia: Spread
$152.8KLos Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs: 43%KALSHI
KALSHIPittsburgh vs New York Y: Spread
$106.9KNew York Y wins by over 1.5 runs: 47%KALSHI
KALSHIBaltimore vs Boston: Spread
$83.4KBoston wins by over 1.5 runs: 38%KALSHI
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If Seattle wins by more than 3.5 runs in the Cincinnati vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 21, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
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- If Seattle wins by more than 2.5 runs in the Cincinnati vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 21, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Seattle wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Cincinnati vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 21, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Cincinnati wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Cincinnati vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 21, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.