This market resolved: Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 runs (97%)
Resolved: Jul 22, 2026, 2:16 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 runs
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
40%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 22, 2026, 1:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 runs
- Recorded
- Jul 22, 2026, 2:27 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityTampa Bay wins by over 1.5 runs 97%+57.0%Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$469.6K
Liquidity
$331.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
97.0% / 99.0%
Spread
2.1%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 22 hours ago
StaleJul 20, 26, 7:20 PMJul 24, 26, 11:07 PM
Probability Timeline
Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 runs97%
Tampa Bay wins by over 3.5 runs94%
Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 runs97%
Toronto wins by over 1.5 runs1%
Toronto wins by over 2.5 runs21%
Toronto wins by over 3.5 runs13%
Tampa Bay wins by over 5.5 runs70%
Tampa Bay wins by over 4.5 runs85%
Tampa Bay wins by over 6.5 runs17%
Tampa Bay wins by over 7.5 runs10%
Tampa Bay wins by over 8.5 runs1%
Tampa Bay wins by over 10.5 runs1%
Tampa Bay wins by over 9.5 runs4%
97%
94%
97%
70%
1%
85%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$3.3k42.0%
KALSHITampa Bay wins by over 3.5 runs — Yesyesterday
KALSHITampa Bay wins by over 3.5 runs — YesyesterdayVolume trend
$469.6kJul 203d of dataJul 22
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KALSHIActive in these topics
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If Toronto wins by more than 3.5 runs in the Tampa Bay vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 21, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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- If Toronto wins by more than 2.5 runs in the Tampa Bay vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 21, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Toronto wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Tampa Bay vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 21, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tampa Bay wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Tampa Bay vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 21, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.