KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: San Francisco wins by over 1.5 runs (95%)
Resolved: Aug 28, 2026, 4:26 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
San Francisco wins by over 1.5 runs
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 28, 2026, 4:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
San Francisco wins by over 1.5 runs 95%+64.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$866.6K
Liquidity
$485.9K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleAug 27, 26, 2:30 AMAug 31, 26, 1:45 AM
Probability Timeline
San Francisco wins by over 1.5 runs95%
Arizona wins by over 1.5 runs1%
San Francisco wins by over 3.5 runs85%
San Francisco wins by over 2.5 runs92%
Arizona wins by over 2.5 runs1%
Arizona wins by over 3.5 runs16%
95%
92%
85%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If San Francisco wins by more than 3.5 runs in the Arizona vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 27, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the Governing League
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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- If San Francisco wins by more than 2.5 runs in the Arizona vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 27, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If San Francisco wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Arizona vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 27, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Arizona wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Arizona vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 27, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
SportsKALSHITOUR Championship Winner
- Scottie Scheffler+3.0pt23.1%
- Min Woo Lee+8.7pt9.3%
- Collin Morikawa+4.7pt9.3%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.8M
- 24h Vol
- $16.5M
POLYMARKETLoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals
- Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)+47.5pt100%
- Odd/Even Total Kills+50.0pt100%
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon+50.0pt100%
+60 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-In
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?100%
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?100%
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?100%
+63 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.4M
KALSHIFearnley vs Rodionov
- Jacob Fearnley-15.0pt54.9%
- Jurij Rodionov+16.0pt45.1%
- Total Vol
- $2.3M
- 24h Vol
- $2.3M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Pgatour TOUR 26
- SSCH-3.0pt16.3%
- MLEE+11.0pt10.6%
- CMOR+5.0pt8.9%
+27 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals
- Odd/Even Total Kills+49.9pt100%
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?+36.5pt100%
- Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)+35.0pt88%
+55 more outcomes
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- US Open Men's Singles Winner
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Arizona vs San Francisco: Spread?
- Kalshi prices San Francisco wins by over 1.5 runs at 95% as of August 28, 2026.
- When does Arizona vs San Francisco: Spread resolve?
- Arizona vs San Francisco: Spread is scheduled to resolve on August 31, 2026.
- How is Arizona vs San Francisco: Spread settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If San Francisco wins by more than 3.5 runs in the Arizona vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 27, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.