KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Seattle wins by over 3.5 runs (99%)
Resolved: Aug 25, 2026, 4:31 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Seattle wins by over 3.5 runs 99%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
53 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$758.6K
Liquidity
$481.5K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 23, 26, 9:30 PMAug 28, 26, 1:40 AM
Probability Timeline
Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 runs5%
Seattle wins by over 3.5 runs99%
Seattle wins by over 2.5 runs99%
Seattle wins by over 1.5 runs82%
Philadelphia wins by over 2.5 runs3%
Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 runs3%
Seattle wins by over 5.5 runs97%
Seattle wins by over 4.5 runs99%
Seattle wins by over 6.5 runs94%
Seattle wins by over 7.5 runs1%
Seattle wins by over 8.5 runs1%
99%
99%
99%
99%
97%
94%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If Seattle wins by more than 8.5 runs in the Philadelphia vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 24, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the Governing League
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- If Seattle wins by more than 7.5 runs in the Philadelphia vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 24, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Seattle wins by more than 6.5 runs in the Philadelphia vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 24, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Seattle wins by more than 5.5 runs in the Philadelphia vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 24, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
