KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Texas wins by over 1.5 runs (43%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Texas wins by over 1.5 runs
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
41%
SurpriseCurrent implied probability
Texas wins by over 1.5 runs 43%+1.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$595.7K
Liquidity
$391.8K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 19, 26, 10:00 PMAug 24, 26, 12:05 AM
Probability Timeline
Texas wins by over 1.5 runs43%
Washington wins by over 1.5 runs7%
Texas wins by over 2.5 runs25%
Washington wins by over 2.5 runs4%
Texas wins by over 3.5 runs10%
Washington wins by over 3.5 runs3%
43%
25%
10%
7%
4%
3%
Rules
If Texas wins by more than 3.5 runs in the Washington vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 20, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the Governing League
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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- If Texas wins by more than 2.5 runs in the Washington vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 20, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Texas wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Washington vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 20, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Washington wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Washington vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 20, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
SportsKALSHIBMW Championship Winner
- Rory McIlroy+14.5pt19.1%
- Chris Gotterup+8.3pt10.5%
- Wyndham Clark+7.5pt9.5%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $38.4M
- 24h Vol
- $22.2M
KALSHIBMW Championship End of Round 1 Leader
- Rory McIlroy+16.3pt19.6%
- Gary Woodland+17.4pt18.6%
- J.J. Spaun+17.2pt18.6%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHILas Vegas vs Houston
- HOU Texans+47.0pt96%
- LV Raiders-49.0pt4%
- Total Vol
- $5.9M
- 24h Vol
- $5.7M
POLYMARKETDota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
- First Blood in Game 1?100%
- Game 1 Winner80%
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?80%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.3M
KALSHIIndiana vs Dallas
- Dallas+55.0pt97%
- Indiana-55.0pt3%
- Total Vol
- $4.6M
- 24h Vol
- $4.4M
KALSHIWashington vs Texas
- Texas+26.0pt86%
- Washington-27.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $3.7M
- 24h Vol
- $3.7M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Washington vs Texas: Spread?
- Kalshi prices Texas wins by over 1.5 runs at 43% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Washington vs Texas: Spread resolve?
- Washington vs Texas: Spread is scheduled to resolve on August 24, 2026.
- How is Washington vs Texas: Spread settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Texas wins by more than 3.5 runs in the Washington vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 20, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.