Current implied probability
Aaron Nola: 17+ 42%
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$268.1
Liquidity
$268.1
Low liquidityBid / Ask
43.0% / 44.0%
Spread
2.3%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jul 5, 26, 1:42 AMJul 8, 26, 7:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Aaron Nola: 17+42%
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If Aaron Nola has 17+ outs recorded in the Philadelphia vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 5, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Aaron Nola is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If Aaron Nola is not a starting pitcher but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, relief appearances will not count towards this market.
- If Aaron Nola is a starting pitcher and records at least one pitch the market will settle based on outs recorded.
- If Luinder Avila has 15+ outs recorded in the Philadelphia vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 5, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Luinder Avila is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, the market will resolve to the fair market price.