KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Taj Bradley: 7+ (99%)
Resolved: Jul 29, 2026, 2:26 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Taj Bradley: 7+
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
46%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 29, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Taj Bradley: 7+
- Recorded
- Jul 29, 2026, 2:34 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityTaj Bradley: 7+ 99%+51.0ptLeader of 16 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$62.2K
Liquidity
$55.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 11:11 PMJul 31, 26, 11:40 PM
Probability Timeline
Taj Bradley: 7+43%
Seth Lugo: 5+42%
Seth Lugo: 4+1%
Taj Bradley: 6+0%
Taj Bradley: 9+0%
Taj Bradley: 10+0%
Taj Bradley: 8+30%
Taj Bradley: 11+6%
Seth Lugo: 3+1%
Seth Lugo: 7+1%
Taj Bradley: 5+79%
Seth Lugo: 6+1%
Seth Lugo: 9+1%
Taj Bradley: 4+89%
Seth Lugo: 2+88%
Seth Lugo: 8+12%
99%
1%
1%
99%
99%
99%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Volume trend
$62.2kJul 273d of dataJul 29
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If Seth Lugo records 2+ strikeouts in the Kansas City vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Seth Lugo is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If Seth Lugo is not a starting pitcher but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, relief appearances will not count towards this market.
- If Seth Lugo is a starting pitcher and records at least one pitch the market will settle based on strikeouts recorded.
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