Current implied probability
Jac Caglianone 56%+8.0%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
88 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$12.3K
Liquidity
$17.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
55.0% / 56.0%
Spread
1.8%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jul 10, 26, 6:35 PMJul 21, 26, 3:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Jac Caglianone56%
Volume trend
$12.3kJul 104d of dataJul 13
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If Jac Caglianone qualifies for Round 2 of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Jac Caglianone does not participate in the event, then the market for that player resolves to No.
- In the event of a tie or co-winners, then dead-heat rules apply and each tied player's market will resolve at 1 / N, where N is the number of tied players.
- If Junior Caminero qualifies for Round 2 of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Junior Caminero does not participate in the event, then the market for that player resolves to No.
- If Willson Contreras qualifies for Round 2 of the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.