KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Kyle Schwarber (93%)
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, 5:40 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 13, 2026, 11:49 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probability
Munetaka Murakami 99%Leader of 33 outcomes
Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$54K
Liquidity
$132.4K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 49 days ago
StaleJun 4, 26, 1:00 AMJul 14, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yordan Alvarez1%
Pete Alonso5%
Christian Walker24%
James Wood2%
Andy Pages1%
Byron Buxton1%
Bobby Witt Jr.1%
Matt Olson1%
Ronald Acuña Jr.1%
Brandon Lowe1%
99%
99%
99%
97%
97%
93%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If the named outcome is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the named outcome is selected but does not participate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Open markets
BaseballKALSHISeattle vs Boston: Total Runs
- Over 2.5 runs scored93%
- Over 3.5 runs scored85%
- Over 4.5 runs scored78%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.6M
- 24h Vol
- $2.5M
KALSHINew York M vs Tampa Bay
- Tampa Bay+2.0pt56.4%
- New York M-3.0pt43.6%
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
- $909.3K
POLYMARKETSan Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
- San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves+57.5pt100%
- NRFI+48.5pt100%
- O/U 8.5+53.5pt100%
+25 more outcomes
KALSHISeattle vs Boston
- Boston-3.0pt52.5%
- Seattle+4.0pt47.5%
- Total Vol
- $656.4K
- 24h Vol
- $644.3K
POLYMARKETSeattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox
- Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox+4.0pt48%
- O/U 7.546%
- NRFI-1.5pt44%
+6 more outcomes
KALSHIPro Baseball Champion
- Los Angeles D+0.2pt30.8%
- Milwaukee-0.1pt12.5%
- New York Y-0.8pt9.6%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $64.6M
- Milwaukee vs Chicago C: Home Runs
- New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins
- Chicago WS vs Houston
- MLB: San Francisco Giants vs Atlanta Braves (Aug 31, 2026)
- MLB: New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays (Aug 31, 2026)
- New York M vs Tampa Bay: Total Runs
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs
- New York M vs Tampa Bay: Spread
- Milwaukee vs Chicago C: Total Runs
- Toronto vs Cleveland
- San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Pro Baseball Home Run Derby Selections?
- Kalshi prices Munetaka Murakami at 99% as of July 13, 2026.
- When does Pro Baseball Home Run Derby Selections resolve?
- Pro Baseball Home Run Derby Selections is scheduled to resolve on July 14, 2026.
- How is Pro Baseball Home Run Derby Selections settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.