KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Juan Soto: 1+ 99%Leader of 39 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$294.6K
Liquidity
$280.3K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 12, 26, 3:10 AM UTCSep 15, 26, 5:35 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Aaron Judge records 1+ home runs in New York M vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Aaron Judge is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If Aaron Judge starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If Aaron Judge is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, pinch hit at bats will not count towards the market.
- If Aaron Judge is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance the market will settle based on home runs recorded.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
Open markets
SportsKALSHIOklahoma vs Michigan
- Michigan+36.0pt70.3%
- Oklahoma-36.0pt29.7%
- Total Vol
- $9.5M
- 24h Vol
- $8.4M
KALSHIOklahoma vs Michigan: Spread
- Michigan wins by over 1.5 points+37.0pt68%
- Michigan wins by over 2.5 points+36.0pt67%
- Michigan wins by over 3.5 points+32.0pt58%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
- Game 2 Winner+49.5pt100%
- Game 3 Winner+49.5pt100%
- O/U 3.5 Games+27.4pt100%
+61 more outcomes
KALSHIArizona St. vs Texas A&M
- Texas A&M+2.0pt88.1%
- Arizona St.-3.0pt11.9%
- Total Vol
- $2.9M
- 24h Vol
- $2.7M
KALSHIAmgen Irish Open Winner
- Shane Lowry+23.0pt69%
- Jacob Skov Olesen+19.0pt30%
- Daniel Brown10%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11.6M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Nfltotal 26 SEP 11 Sflar
- 17+3.0pt100%
- 20100%
- 23100%
+42 more outcomes
- Total Vol
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for New York M vs New York Y: Home Runs?
- Kalshi prices Juan Soto: 1+ at 99% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does New York M vs New York Y: Home Runs resolve?
- New York M vs New York Y: Home Runs is scheduled to resolve on September 15, 2026.
- How is New York M vs New York Y: Home Runs settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Aaron Judge records 1+ home runs in New York M vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.