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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. New York Y vs A's: Home Runs
New York Y vs A's: Home Runs

New York Y vs A's: Home Runs

Sports
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Nick Kurtz: 1+ (99%)

Resolved: May 31, 2026, 5:16 AM

Winning Outcome

Nick Kurtz: 1+

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability
Aaron Judge: 1+
Aaron Judge: 1+ 1%
Leader of 25 outcomes
Market quality

36 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$2K

Liquidity

$1.8K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

2.0% / 14.0%

Spread

600.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 13 days ago

Stale
May 30, 26, 8:24 AMJun 3, 26, 2:05 AM

Probability Timeline

Aaron Judge: 1+24%
Nick Kurtz: 1+14%
Cody Bellinger: 1+50%
Ben Rice: 1+72%
Aaron Judge: 2+3%
Aaron Judge: 3+2%
Anthony Volpe: 1+9%
Shea Langeliers: 1+99%
Cody Bellinger: 2+2%
Tyler Soderstrom: 1+3%
Jazz Chisholm Jr.: 1+19%
Brent Rooker: 1+21%
Henry Bolte: 1+11%
Shea Langeliers: 2+20%
Nick Kurtz: 2+2%
Paul Goldschmidt: 1+14%
Zack Gelof: 1+13%
Trent Grisham: 1+2%
Austin Wells: 1+15%
Ben Rice: 2+3%
Colby Thomas: 1+17%
Ryan McMahon: 1+15%
Anthony Volpe: 2+1%
Trent Grisham: 2+18%
0%25%50%75%100%May 31May 31May 31
Outcome24hChance
Aaron Judge: 1+
Aaron Judge: 1+
1%
Nick Kurtz: 1+
Nick Kurtz: 1+
99%
Cody Bellinger: 1+
Cody Bellinger: 1+
50%
Ben Rice: 1+
Ben Rice: 1+
72%
Aaron Judge: 2+
Aaron Judge: 2+
1%
Aaron Judge: 3+
Aaron Judge: 3+
1%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If Aaron Judge records 1+ home runs in New York Y vs A's professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 10:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Aaron Judge is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
  • If Aaron Judge starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
  • If Aaron Judge is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, pinch hit at bats will not count towards the market.
  • If Aaron Judge is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance the market will settle based on home runs recorded.
  • If Aaron Judge records 2+ home runs in New York Y vs A's professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 10:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If Aaron Judge records 1+ home runs in New York Y vs A's professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 10:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Aaron Judge is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
  • If Aaron Judge starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
  • If Aaron Judge is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, pinch hit at bats will not count towards the market.
  • If Aaron Judge is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance the market will settle based on home runs recorded.
  • If Aaron Judge records 2+ home runs in New York Y vs A's professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 10:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.