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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Sports
  3. New York Y vs A's: Home Runs
New York Y vs A's: Home Runs

New York Y vs A's: Home Runs

48.0% (24h)Sports
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Ben Rice: 1+ (99%)

Resolved: May 30, 2026, 4:46 AM

Winning Outcome

Ben Rice: 1+

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability
Aaron Judge: 1+
Aaron Judge: 1+ 73%+48.0%
Leader of 25 outcomes
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$2.1K

Liquidity

$1.9K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 2.0%

Market data

Updated 14 days ago

Stale
May 28, 26, 10:13 PMJun 2, 26, 1:40 AM

Probability Timeline

Aaron Judge: 1+29%
Ben Rice: 1+25%
Aaron Judge: 2+5%
Cody Bellinger: 1+15%
Jazz Chisholm Jr.: 1+4%
Nick Kurtz: 2+1%
Nick Kurtz: 1+17%
José Caballero: 1+8%
Paul Goldschmidt: 1+14%
Shea Langeliers: 1+1%
Jazz Chisholm Jr.: 2+2%
Trent Grisham: 1+19%
Cody Bellinger: 2+2%
Tyler Soderstrom: 1+1%
Brent Rooker: 1+64%
Aaron Judge: 3+1%
Shea Langeliers: 2+3%
Ben Rice: 2+8%
Henry Bolte: 1+1%
Zack Gelof: 1+1%
Colby Thomas: 1+4%
0%25%50%75%100%May 30May 30May 30
Outcome24hChance
Aaron Judge: 1+
Aaron Judge: 1+
+48.0%
73%
Ben Rice: 1+
Ben Rice: 1+
99%
Aaron Judge: 2+
Aaron Judge: 2+
1%
Cody Bellinger: 1+
Cody Bellinger: 1+
-11.0%
4%
Jazz Chisholm Jr.: 1+
Jazz Chisholm Jr.: 1+
5%
Nick Kurtz: 2+
Nick Kurtz: 2+
1%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If Aaron Judge records 1+ home runs in New York Y vs A's professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Aaron Judge is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
  • If Aaron Judge starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
  • If Aaron Judge is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, pinch hit at bats will not count towards the market.
  • If Aaron Judge is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance the market will settle based on home runs recorded.
  • If Aaron Judge records 2+ home runs in New York Y vs A's professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If Aaron Judge records 1+ home runs in New York Y vs A's professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Aaron Judge is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
  • If Aaron Judge starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
  • If Aaron Judge is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, pinch hit at bats will not count towards the market.
  • If Aaron Judge is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance the market will settle based on home runs recorded.
  • If Aaron Judge records 2+ home runs in New York Y vs A's professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.