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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Philadelphia vs San Diego: Home Runs
Philadelphia vs San Diego: Home Runs

Philadelphia vs San Diego: Home Runs

11.0% (24h)Sports
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Manny Machado: 1+ (99%)

Resolved: May 27, 2026, 4:41 AM

Winning Outcome

Manny Machado: 1+

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+ 1%-11.0%
Leader of 25 outcomes
Market quality

36 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$2.2K

Liquidity

$2.2K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

1.0% / 8.0%

Spread

700.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 17 days ago

Stale
May 26, 26, 3:13 AMMay 30, 26, 1:40 AM

Probability Timeline

Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+15%
Kyle Schwarber: 1+1%
Gavin Sheets: 1+1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 2+2%
Miguel Andujar: 1+3%
Manny Machado: 2+1%
Manny Machado: 1+14%
Bryce Harper: 1+17%
Bryson Stott: 1+9%
Brandon Marsh: 1+10%
Jackson Merrill: 1+6%
Kyle Schwarber: 2+1%
J.T. Realmuto: 1+9%
Bryce Harper: 2+5%
Trea Turner: 1+10%
Alec Bohm: 1+1%
Xander Bogaerts: 1+1%
Justin Crawford: 1+5%
Ramón Laureano: 1+7%
Edmundo Sosa: 1+2%
Trea Turner: 2+1%
Freddy Fermin: 1+1%
J.T. Realmuto: 2+2%
0%25%50%75%100%May 27May 27May 27
Outcome24hChance
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+
-11.0%
1%
Kyle Schwarber: 1+
Kyle Schwarber: 1+
-24.0%
1%
Gavin Sheets: 1+
Gavin Sheets: 1+
1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 2+
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 2+
1%
Miguel Andujar: 1+
Miguel Andujar: 1+
3%
Manny Machado: 2+
Manny Machado: 2+
1%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If Bryce Harper records 1+ home runs in Philadelphia vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Bryce Harper is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
  • If Bryce Harper starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
  • If Bryce Harper is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, pinch hit at bats will not count towards the market.
  • If Bryce Harper is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance the market will settle based on home runs recorded.
  • If Bryce Harper records 2+ home runs in Philadelphia vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If Bryce Harper records 1+ home runs in Philadelphia vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Bryce Harper is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
  • If Bryce Harper starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
  • If Bryce Harper is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, pinch hit at bats will not count towards the market.
  • If Bryce Harper is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance the market will settle based on home runs recorded.
  • If Bryce Harper records 2+ home runs in Philadelphia vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.