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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Sports
  3. Cincinnati vs San Diego: Home Runs
Cincinnati vs San Diego: Home Runs

Cincinnati vs San Diego: Home Runs

10.0% (24h)SportsOne-OffBaseball
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Freddy Fermin: 1+ (99%)

Resolved: Jun 9, 2026, 4:40 AM

Winning Outcome

Freddy Fermin: 1+

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+ 2%-10.0%
Leader of 25 outcomes
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$1.2K

Liquidity

$1.2K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 72.0%

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Stale
Jun 7, 26, 10:41 PMJun 12, 26, 1:40 AM

Probability Timeline

Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+15%
Nathaniel Lowe: 2+1%
Manny Machado: 1+16%
Nathaniel Lowe: 1+11%
Jackson Merrill: 1+11%
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 2+2%
Gavin Sheets: 1+10%
JJ Bleday: 1+16%
Xander Bogaerts: 1+11%
Matt McLain: 1+8%
Tyler Stephenson: 1+11%
Eugenio Suárez: 2+2%
Freddy Fermin: 2+1%
Ty France: 1+12%
Manny Machado: 2+2%
Jackson Merrill: 2+1%
Sal Stewart: 1+1%
Ty France: 2+1%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 9Jun 9Jun 9
Outcome24hChance
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+
-10.0%
2%
Nathaniel Lowe: 2+
Nathaniel Lowe: 2+
1%
Matt McLain: 2+
Matt McLain: 2+
1%
Manny Machado: 1+
Manny Machado: 1+
2%
Nathaniel Lowe: 1+
Nathaniel Lowe: 1+
1%
Jackson Merrill: 1+
Jackson Merrill: 1+
-8.0%
2%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If Fernando Tatis Jr. records 1+ home runs in Cincinnati vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 8, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Fernando Tatis Jr. is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
  • If Fernando Tatis Jr. starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
  • If Fernando Tatis Jr. is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, pinch hit at bats will not count towards the market.
  • If Fernando Tatis Jr. is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance the market will settle based on home runs recorded.
  • If Fernando Tatis Jr. records 2+ home runs in Cincinnati vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 8, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If Fernando Tatis Jr. records 1+ home runs in Cincinnati vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 8, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Fernando Tatis Jr. is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
  • If Fernando Tatis Jr. starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
  • If Fernando Tatis Jr. is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, pinch hit at bats will not count towards the market.
  • If Fernando Tatis Jr. is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance the market will settle based on home runs recorded.
  • If Fernando Tatis Jr. records 2+ home runs in Cincinnati vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 8, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.