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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. San Diego vs Philadelphia: Home Runs
San Diego vs Philadelphia: Home Runs

San Diego vs Philadelphia: Home Runs

SportsOne-OffBaseball
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Jackson Merrill: 1+ (99%)

Resolved: Jun 4, 2026, 8:01 PM

Winning Outcome

Jackson Merrill: 1+

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability
Bryce Harper: 1+
Bryce Harper: 1+ 5%
Leader of 25 outcomes
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$1.9K

Liquidity

$1.8K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 1.0%

Market data

Updated 8 days ago

Stale
Jun 4, 26, 1:43 AMJun 7, 26, 5:05 PM

Probability Timeline

Bryce Harper: 1+21%
Kyle Schwarber: 1+3%
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+11%
Trea Turner: 1+14%
Kyle Schwarber: 2+5%
Bryson Stott: 1+12%
Alec Bohm: 1+11%
Brandon Marsh: 1+11%
Adolis García: 1+16%
Manny Machado: 1+14%
Jackson Merrill: 1+99%
Bryce Harper: 2+3%
Justin Crawford: 1+7%
Xander Bogaerts: 1+1%
J.T. Realmuto: 1+13%
Gavin Sheets: 1+1%
Kyle Schwarber: 3+1%
Trea Turner: 2+2%
Miguel Andujar: 1+7%
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 2+2%
Ty France: 1+2%
Bryce Johnson: 1+2%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 4Jun 4Jun 4
Outcome24hChance
Bryce Harper: 1+
Bryce Harper: 1+
5%
Kyle Schwarber: 1+
Kyle Schwarber: 1+
8%
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+
5%
Trea Turner: 1+
Trea Turner: 1+
1%
Kyle Schwarber: 2+
Kyle Schwarber: 2+
2%
Bryson Stott: 1+
Bryson Stott: 1+
1%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If Bryce Harper records 1+ home runs in San Diego vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 4, 2026 at 1:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Bryce Harper is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
  • If Bryce Harper starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
  • If Bryce Harper is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, pinch hit at bats will not count towards the market.
  • If Bryce Harper is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance the market will settle based on home runs recorded.
  • If Bryce Harper records 2+ home runs in San Diego vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 4, 2026 at 1:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If Bryce Harper records 1+ home runs in San Diego vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 4, 2026 at 1:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Bryce Harper is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
  • If Bryce Harper starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
  • If Bryce Harper is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, pinch hit at bats will not count towards the market.
  • If Bryce Harper is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance the market will settle based on home runs recorded.
  • If Bryce Harper records 2+ home runs in San Diego vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 4, 2026 at 1:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.