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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Sports
  3. New York M vs Seattle: Home Runs
New York M vs Seattle: Home Runs

New York M vs Seattle: Home Runs

19.0% (24h)Sports
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Josh Naylor: 1+ (99%)

Resolved: Jun 2, 2026, 4:26 AM

Winning Outcome

Josh Naylor: 1+

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability
Juan Soto: 1+
Juan Soto: 1+ 1%-19.0%
Leader of 25 outcomes
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$2.3K

Liquidity

$2.2K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 10.0%

Market data

Updated 11 days ago

Stale
Jun 1, 26, 1:43 AMJun 5, 26, 1:40 AM

Probability Timeline

Juan Soto: 1+1%
Julio Rodríguez: 1+17%
Randy Arozarena: 1+12%
Josh Naylor: 1+12%
Luke Raley: 1+17%
J.P. Crawford: 1+5%
Bo Bichette: 1+10%
Colt Emerson: 1+8%
Julio Rodríguez: 2+2%
Cole Young: 1+3%
Randy Arozarena: 2+1%
Marcus Semien: 1+9%
Rob Refsnyder: 1+11%
MJ Melendez: 1+1%
Jared Young: 1+14%
Juan Soto: 2+3%
Mitch Garver: 1+6%
Carson Benge: 1+11%
Brett Baty: 1+12%
A.J. Ewing: 1+8%
Luke Raley: 2+1%
Jared Young: 2+1%
Colt Emerson: 2+2%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 2Jun 2Jun 2
Outcome24hChance
Juan Soto: 1+
Juan Soto: 1+
-19.0%
1%
Julio Rodríguez: 1+
Julio Rodríguez: 1+
+2.0%
17%
Randy Arozarena: 1+
Randy Arozarena: 1+
-10.0%
1%
Josh Naylor: 1+
Josh Naylor: 1+
99%
Luke Raley: 1+
Luke Raley: 1+
1%
J.P. Crawford: 1+
J.P. Crawford: 1+
5%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If Juan Soto records 1+ home runs in New York M vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 1, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Juan Soto is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
  • If Juan Soto starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
  • If Juan Soto is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, pinch hit at bats will not count towards the market.
  • If Juan Soto is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance the market will settle based on home runs recorded.
  • If Juan Soto records 2+ home runs in New York M vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 1, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If Juan Soto records 1+ home runs in New York M vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 1, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Juan Soto is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
  • If Juan Soto starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
  • If Juan Soto is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, pinch hit at bats will not count towards the market.
  • If Juan Soto is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance the market will settle based on home runs recorded.
  • If Juan Soto records 2+ home runs in New York M vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 1, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.