KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Luis Urías: 1+ (99%)
Resolved: Jul 28, 2026, 1:52 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Luis Urías: 1+
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 28, 2026, 1:30 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Luis Urías: 1+
- Recorded
- Jul 28, 2026, 2:02 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityLuis Urías: 1+ 99%Leader of 34 outcomes
Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$221.8K
Liquidity
$217.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 5.0%
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJul 26, 26, 11:10 PMJul 30, 26, 10:45 PM
Probability Timeline
CJ Abrams: 1+6%
James Wood: 1+6%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 1+1%
CJ Abrams: 2+3%
James Wood: 2+0%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 2+0%
Luis García: 1+22%
Daylen Lile: 1+14%
Kazuma Okamoto: 1+1%
George Springer: 1+15%
Dylan Crews: 1+1%
Jorbit Vivas: 1+2%
José Tena: 1+13%
Nathan Lukes: 1+5%
Keibert Ruiz: 1+13%
Nasim Nuñez: 1+5%
Ernie Clement: 1+8%
6%
6%
1%
1%
3%
3%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Volume trend
$221.8kJul 272d of dataJul 28
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If CJ Abrams records 1+ home runs in Toronto vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 27, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If CJ Abrams is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If CJ Abrams starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If CJ Abrams is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, pinch hit at bats will not count towards the market.
- If CJ Abrams is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance the market will settle based on home runs recorded.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.