Current implied probability
Manny Machado: 1+ 17%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$238.1
Liquidity
$238.1
Low liquidityBid / Ask
16.0% / 18.0%
Spread
12.5%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jul 12, 26, 3:41 AMJul 15, 26, 8:10 PM
Trends
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Manny Machado: 1+17%
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If Fernando Tatis Jr. records 1+ home runs in Toronto vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 12, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Fernando Tatis Jr. is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If Fernando Tatis Jr. starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If Fernando Tatis Jr. is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, pinch hit at bats will not count towards the market.
- If Fernando Tatis Jr. is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance the market will settle based on home runs recorded.
- If Fernando Tatis Jr. records 2+ home runs in Toronto vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 12, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.