Current implied probability
Nick Kurtz: 2+ 6%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$532.7
Liquidity
$532.7
Low liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 5.0%
Spread
25.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jul 4, 26, 6:12 AMJul 8, 26, 1:40 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Nick Kurtz: 2+6%
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If Nick Kurtz records 1+ home runs in Miami vs A's professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 4, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Nick Kurtz is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If Nick Kurtz starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If Nick Kurtz is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, pinch hit at bats will not count towards the market.
- If Nick Kurtz is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance the market will settle based on home runs recorded.
- If Nick Kurtz records 2+ home runs in Miami vs A's professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 4, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.