KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Texas (95%)
Resolved: Jul 29, 2026, 1:27 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Texas
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
41%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 29, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Texas
- Recorded
- Jul 29, 2026, 1:35 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityTexas 95%+54.0pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.8M
Liquidity
$1.5M
High liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 5.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJul 25, 26, 10:55 PMJul 31, 26, 10:40 PM
Probability Timeline
Tampa Bay5%
Texas95%
5%
95%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$1.1k98.0%KALSHITexas — Yes5h ago
KALSHITexas — Yes5h ago$1.8k98.0%KALSHITexas — Yes5h ago
KALSHITexas — Yes5h ago$1.2k98.0%KALSHITexas — Yes5h ago
KALSHITexas — Yes5h ago$5.3k98.0%KALSHITexas — Yes5h ago
KALSHITexas — Yes5h ago$2.0k98.0%KALSHITexas — Yes5h ago
KALSHITexas — Yes5h ago$6.2k92.0%KALSHITexas — Yes5h ago
KALSHITexas — Yes5h ago$1.6k93.0%KALSHITampa Bay — No5h ago
KALSHITampa Bay — No5h ago$3.0k94.0%KALSHITexas — Yes5h ago
KALSHITexas — Yes5h agoVolume trend
$2.8MJul 255d of dataJul 29
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If Texas wins the Texas vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Texas vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT.
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
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