This market resolved: Arizona (64%)
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, 11:42 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Arizona
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
54%
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Arizona
- Recorded
- Jul 19, 2026, 11:49 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityArizona 64%+10.0%
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$3.1M
Liquidity
$2.1M
High liquidityBid / Ask
64.0% / 65.0%
Spread
1.6%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated yesterday
StaleJul 16, 26, 8:25 PMJul 22, 26, 8:10 PM
Probability Timeline
Arizona64%
St. Louis37%
64%
37%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Arizona
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiThis pageBest overall | High | 64% | — | $3.1M | $2.1M | yesterday | |
 Futuur85% match · auto | Low | 53% | — | $0 | $0 | yesterday | Open → |
Also available on Futuur
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Closed
53%
47%
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$200
24h Vol$0
FUTUURRules
Louis wins the St.
- Louis vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 19, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the St.
- Louis vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 19, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT.
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$4.9k70.0%KALSHIArizona — Yesyesterday
KALSHIArizona — Yesyesterday$1.4k20.0%KALSHISt. Louis — Yesyesterday
KALSHISt. Louis — Yesyesterday$6.7k54.0%KALSHIArizona — Yesyesterday
KALSHIArizona — Yesyesterday$3.1k54.0%KALSHIArizona — Yesyesterday
KALSHIArizona — Yesyesterday$1.0k47.0%KALSHISt. Louis — Yesyesterday
KALSHISt. Louis — Yesyesterday$1.1k69.0%KALSHIArizona — Yesyesterday
KALSHIArizona — Yesyesterday$1.7k32.0%KALSHISt. Louis — Yesyesterday
KALSHISt. Louis — Yesyesterday$1.0k57.0%KALSHIArizona — Yesyesterday
KALSHIArizona — YesyesterdayVolume trend
$3.1MJul 173d of dataJul 19
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Louis wins the St.
- Louis vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 19, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the St.
- Louis vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 19, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT.
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.