KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings (99%)
Resolved: Sep 26, 2026, 1:00 AM
Provider-verified resolution
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Probability Timeline
Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings47%
Over 6.5 runs in the first 5 innings99%
Over 5.5 runs in the first 5 innings99%
Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings88%
Over 3.5 runs in the first 5 innings61%
Over 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings76%
Over 0.5 runs in the first 5 innings96%
Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 inningsWon
Over 6.5 runs in the first 5 inningsLost
Over 5.5 runs in the first 5 inningsLost
Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 inningsLost
Over 3.5 runs in the first 5 inningsLost
Over 2.5 runs in the first 5 inningsLost
Over 0.5 runs in the first 5 inningsLost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If New York M and Washington collectively score more than 0.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the New York M vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the Governing League
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- If New York M and Washington collectively score more than 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the New York M vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If New York M and Washington collectively score more than 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the New York M vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.