KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings (99%)
Resolved: Sep 26, 2026, 12:18 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Probability Timeline
Over 3.5 runs in the first 5 innings1%
Over 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings1%
Over 5.5 runs in the first 5 innings1%
Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings1%
Over 6.5 runs in the first 5 innings13%
Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings81%
Over 0.5 runs in the first 5 innings91%
Won
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If Tampa Bay and Philadelphia collectively score more than 0.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the Governing League
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).
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- If Tampa Bay and Philadelphia collectively score more than 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tampa Bay and Philadelphia collectively score more than 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.