KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings (99%)
Resolved: Sep 20, 2026, 2:54 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
46%
SurpriseCurrent implied probability
Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings 99%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$34K
Liquidity
$23.1K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 18, 26, 7:20 PM UTCSep 23, 26, 12:40 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings72%
Over 3.5 runs in the first 5 innings90%
Over 5.5 runs in the first 5 innings55%
Over 6.5 runs in the first 5 innings99%
Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings99%
Over 0.5 runs in the first 5 innings99%
Over 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Miami and San Diego collectively score more than 0.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the Miami vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the Governing League
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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- If Miami and San Diego collectively score more than 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the Miami vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Miami and San Diego collectively score more than 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the Miami vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
