KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings (99%)
Resolved: Aug 31, 2026, 1:28 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 31, 2026, 1:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings 99%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$491.4K
Liquidity
$335.7K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 29, 26, 7:50 PMSep 2, 26, 11:20 PM
Probability Timeline
Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings53%
Over 5.5 runs in the first 5 innings99%
Over 6.5 runs in the first 5 innings99%
Over 3.5 runs in the first 5 innings67%
Over 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings77%
Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings89%
Over 0.5 runs in the first 5 innings92%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
Rules
If Cincinnati and Chicago C collectively score more than 0.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the Cincinnati vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 7:20 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the Governing League
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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- If Cincinnati and Chicago C collectively score more than 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the Cincinnati vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 7:20 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Cincinnati and Chicago C collectively score more than 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the Cincinnati vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 7:20 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
