This market resolved: Seattle wins first 5 innings (32%)
Resolved: Jul 21, 2026, 3:15 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Seattle wins first 5 innings
- Recorded
- Jul 21, 2026, 6:40 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityTie 68.9%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$112.7K
Liquidity
$93.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
13.0% / 26.0%
Spread
13.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 days ago
StaleJul 19, 26, 7:00 PMJul 24, 26, 1:40 AM
Probability Timeline
Seattle wins first 5 innings32%
Tie73%
Cincinnati wins first 5 innings1%
30.2%
68.9%
0.9%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Tie
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 73% | — | $112.7K | $93.7K | 6 days ago | |
 Polymarket64% match · auto | Low | 90% | — | $79 | $3.4K | 6 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners - First 5 Innings Winner
39.0 ptsClosed
+39.0pt90%
-5.0pt10%
-31.6pt0%
26 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$79
24h Vol$79
POLYMARKETRules
If Cincinnati wins the first 5 innings of the Cincinnati vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 20, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market refers to the first 5 innings of the Cincinnati vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 20, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT.
- If the score at the end of the first 5 innings is tied, the "Tie" strike will resolve to Yes and all team strikes will resolve to No.
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$112.7kJul 193d of dataJul 21
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KALSHIActive in these topics
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If Cincinnati wins the first 5 innings of the Cincinnati vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 20, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market refers to the first 5 innings of the Cincinnati vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 20, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT.
- If the score at the end of the first 5 innings is tied, the "Tie" strike will resolve to Yes and all team strikes will resolve to No.
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.