This market resolved: Houston wins first 5 innings (99%)
Resolved: Jul 21, 2026, 1:55 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Houston wins first 5 innings
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Houston wins first 5 innings
- Recorded
- Jul 21, 2026, 2:10 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityHouston wins first 5 innings 96.1%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$85.3K
Liquidity
$67.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 days ago
StaleJul 19, 26, 7:00 PMJul 24, 26, 12:10 AM
Probability Timeline
Houston wins first 5 innings99%
Miami wins first 5 innings1%
Tie9%
96.1%
1%
2.9%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Houston wins first 5 innings
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 99% | — | $85.3K | $67.6K | 6 days ago | |
 Polymarket64% match · auto | Low | 96% | — | $80 | $3.1K | 6 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros - First 5 Innings Winner
60.5 ptsClosed
+60.5pt92.3%
-39.5pt3.9%
-19.5pt3.9%
28 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$80
24h Vol$80
POLYMARKETRules
If Miami wins the first 5 innings of the Miami vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 20, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market refers to the first 5 innings of the Miami vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 20, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT.
- If the score at the end of the first 5 innings is tied, the "Tie" strike will resolve to Yes and all team strikes will resolve to No.
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$85.3kJul 202d of dataJul 21
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KALSHIActive in these topics
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If Miami wins the first 5 innings of the Miami vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 20, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market refers to the first 5 innings of the Miami vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 20, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT.
- If the score at the end of the first 5 innings is tied, the "Tie" strike will resolve to Yes and all team strikes will resolve to No.
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.