This market resolved: Kansas City wins first 5 innings (99%)
Resolved: Jul 21, 2026, 1:15 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Kansas City wins first 5 innings
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 21, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Kansas City wins first 5 innings
- Recorded
- Jul 21, 2026, 1:34 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityKansas City wins first 5 innings 99%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$54.5K
Liquidity
$43.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJul 20, 26, 12:00 AMJul 23, 26, 11:40 PM
Probability Timeline
Kansas City wins first 5 innings99%
San Francisco wins first 5 innings1%
Tie1%
99%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Kansas City wins first 5 innings
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiThis pageBest overall | High | 99% | — | $54.5K | $43.9K | 11 hours ago | |
 Polymarket69% match · auto | Medium | 100% | — | $150 | $4.2K | 10 hours ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals - First 5 Innings Winner
55.5%Closed
Resolved
Kansas City Royals (100%)
+55.5%100%
-30.5%10%
-1.5%10%
71 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$156
24h Vol$150
POLYMARKETRules
If San Francisco wins the first 5 innings of the San Francisco vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 20, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market refers to the first 5 innings of the San Francisco vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 20, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT.
- If the score at the end of the first 5 innings is tied, the "Tie" strike will resolve to Yes and all team strikes will resolve to No.
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$54.5kJul 202d of dataJul 21
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KALSHIActive in these topics
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If San Francisco wins the first 5 innings of the San Francisco vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 20, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market refers to the first 5 innings of the San Francisco vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 20, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT.
- If the score at the end of the first 5 innings is tied, the "Tie" strike will resolve to Yes and all team strikes will resolve to No.
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.