This market resolved: Cincinnati wins first 5 innings (99%)
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, 12:55 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Cincinnati wins first 5 innings
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Cincinnati wins first 5 innings
- Recorded
- Jul 11, 2026, 1:14 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityChicago C wins first 5 innings 1%-41.0%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$66.1K
Liquidity
$55.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 9, 26, 8:22 PMJul 13, 26, 11:10 PM
Probability Timeline
Chicago C wins first 5 innings1%
Cincinnati wins first 5 innings99%
Tie1%
1%
99%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Cincinnati wins first 5 innings
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiThis pageBest overall | High | 99% | — | $66.1K | $55.8K | 1 hour ago | |
 Polymarket85% match · auto | Medium | 100% | — | $10.6K | $21.2K | 52 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds - First 5 Innings Winner
38.3%Closed
Resolved
Cincinnati Reds (100%)
+54.5%100%
-11.5%3%
-38.3%0%
65 • Medium qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidity
Total Vol$10.6K
24h Vol$10.6K
POLYMARKETRules
If Chicago C wins the first 5 innings of the Chicago C vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market refers to the first 5 innings of the Chicago C vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT.
- If the score at the end of the first 5 innings is tied, the "Tie" strike will resolve to Yes and all team strikes will resolve to No.
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).
- If Cincinnati wins the first 5 innings of the Chicago C vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Chicago C and Cincinnati tie in the first 5 innings of the Chicago C vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$66.1kJul 93d of dataJul 11
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If Chicago C wins the first 5 innings of the Chicago C vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market refers to the first 5 innings of the Chicago C vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT.
- If the score at the end of the first 5 innings is tied, the "Tie" strike will resolve to Yes and all team strikes will resolve to No.
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).
- If Cincinnati wins the first 5 innings of the Chicago C vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Chicago C and Cincinnati tie in the first 5 innings of the Chicago C vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.