KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Tampa Bay wins first 5 innings (99%)
Resolved: Jul 8, 2026, 12:26 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Tampa Bay wins first 5 innings
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilityTampa Bay wins first 5 innings 98%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$86.5K
Liquidity
$63.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 20 days ago
StaleJul 7, 26, 12:40 AMJul 10, 26, 10:40 PM
Probability Timeline
Tampa Bay wins first 5 innings99%
New York Y wins first 5 innings1%
Tie1%
98%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Tampa Bay wins first 5 innings
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 99% | — | $86.5K | $63.9K | 20 days ago | |
 Polymarket85% match · auto | Low | 91% | — | $48.2 | $916.3 | 20 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays - First 5 Innings Winner
49.5 ptsClosed
+40.5pt91%
-49.5pt1%
-49.5pt1%
10 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$48.2
24h Vol$48.2
POLYMARKETRules
If New York Y wins the first 5 innings of the New York Y vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market refers to the first 5 innings of the New York Y vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT.
- If the score at the end of the first 5 innings is tied, the "Tie" strike will resolve to Yes and all team strikes will resolve to No.
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).
- If Tampa Bay wins the first 5 innings of the New York Y vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If New York Y and Tampa Bay tie in the first 5 innings of the New York Y vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.4k46.0%KALSHITampa Bay wins first 5 innings — Yes21d ago
KALSHITampa Bay wins first 5 innings — Yes21d agoVolume trend
$86.5kJul 72d of dataJul 8
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KALSHIActive in these topics
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If New York Y wins the first 5 innings of the New York Y vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market refers to the first 5 innings of the New York Y vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT.
- If the score at the end of the first 5 innings is tied, the "Tie" strike will resolve to Yes and all team strikes will resolve to No.
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).
- If Tampa Bay wins the first 5 innings of the New York Y vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If New York Y and Tampa Bay tie in the first 5 innings of the New York Y vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.