Current implied probability
93° or above 38.2%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.5K
Liquidity
$2.5K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
11.0% / 13.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 2:00 PMJul 29, 26, 7:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
89° to 90°13%
Related Markets
Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 27, 2026?
$8.6K93° or above: 94%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 27, 2026?
$569K87° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Miami on Jul 27, 2026?
$155.7K89° to 90°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$4.9KSpaceX: 87%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
$280.6Yes: 7%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETMajor meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$211.8Yes: 12%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Kimi-K3 Scales to 2.8T Parameters on AMD Instinct GPUsBlockchain.News
Circle Buys IBM Blockchain Patent Estate—And Becomes America's Biggest HolderDecrypt
Tesla wins UK 5G patent appeal over $32 feeCrypto News
Magic Labs Sells Wallet Business to Kraken Parent PaywardThe Defiant
Nvidia forms 37-member AI security alliance without OpenAI, Anthropic or GoogleCoindesk
Circle buys nearly 1,000 blockchain patents from IBMCoindeskRules
If the minimum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Jul 28, 2026, is less than 85° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIPHX can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=psr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Phoenix, AZ" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.