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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Lowest temperature in Miami on Jun 13, 2026?
Lowest temperature in Miami on Jun 13, 2026?

Lowest temperature in Miami on Jun 13, 2026?

Foreign ExchangeDailyTechWeather1d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
78° to 79°
78° to 79° 50%
Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$18.2

Liquidity

$16.7

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

52.0% / 59.0%

Spread

13.5%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Jun 12, 26, 2:00 PMJun 14, 26, 5:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

78° to 79°50%

PolymarketAlso available on Polymarket

Lowest temperature in Miami on June 13?

Lowest temperature in Miami on June 13?

16h
78-79°F
78-79°F
54%
76-77°F
76-77°F
29%
80-81°F
80-81°F
14%

+8 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.9K
24h Vol$4K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Rules

If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami for Jun 13, 2026, is less than 72° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Data for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Miami, FL" with Daily Climate Report selected.
  • Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
  • Not all weather data is the same.
  • While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
  • Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami for Jun 13, 2026, is less than 72° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Data for CLIMIA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mfl, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Miami, FL" with Daily Climate Report selected.
  • Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
  • Not all weather data is the same.
  • While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
  • Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.